urban dynamic
UrbanMind: Urban Dynamics Prediction with Multifaceted Spatial-Temporal Large Language Models
Liu, Yuhang, Zhang, Yingxue, Zhang, Xin, Tian, Ling, Li, Yanhua, Luo, Jun
Understanding and predicting urban dynamics is crucial for managing transportation systems, optimizing urban planning, and enhancing public services. While neural network-based approaches have achieved success, they often rely on task-specific architectures and large volumes of data, limiting their ability to generalize across diverse urban scenarios. Meanwhile, Large Language Models (LLMs) offer strong reasoning and generalization capabilities, yet their application to spatial-temporal urban dynamics remains underexplored. Existing LLM-based methods struggle to effectively integrate multifaceted spatial-temporal data and fail to address distributional shifts between training and testing data, limiting their predictive reliability in real-world applications. To bridge this gap, we propose UrbanMind, a novel spatial-temporal LLM framework for multifaceted urban dynamics prediction that ensures both accurate forecasting and robust generalization. At its core, UrbanMind introduces Muffin-MAE, a multifaceted fusion masked autoencoder with specialized masking strategies that capture intricate spatial-temporal dependencies and intercorrelations among multifaceted urban dynamics. Additionally, we design a semantic-aware prompting and fine-tuning strategy that encodes spatial-temporal contextual details into prompts, enhancing LLMs' ability to reason over spatial-temporal patterns. To further improve generalization, we introduce a test time adaptation mechanism with a test data reconstructor, enabling UrbanMind to dynamically adjust to unseen test data by reconstructing LLM-generated embeddings. Extensive experiments on real-world urban datasets across multiple cities demonstrate that UrbanMind consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, achieving high accuracy and robust generalization, even in zero-shot settings.
UrbanRhythm: Revealing Urban Dynamics Hidden in Mobility Data
Song, Sirui, Xia, Tong, Jin, Depeng, Hui, Pan, Li, Yong
Understanding urban dynamics, i.e., how the types and intensity of urban residents' activities in the city change along with time, is of urgent demand for building an efficient and livable city. Nonetheless, this is challenging due to the expanding urban population and the complicated spatial distribution of residents. In this paper, to reveal urban dynamics, we propose a novel system UrbanRhythm to reveal the urban dynamics hidden in human mobility data. UrbanRhythm addresses three questions: 1) What mobility feature should be used to present residents' high-dimensional activities in the city? 2) What are basic components of urban dynamics? 3) What are the long-term periodicity and short-term regularity of urban dynamics? In UrbanRhythm, we extract staying, leaving, arriving three attributes of mobility and use a image processing method Saak transform to calculate the mobility distribution feature. For the second question, several city states are identified by hierarchy clustering as the basic components of urban dynamics, such as sleeping states and working states. We further characterize the urban dynamics as the transform of city states along time axis. For the third question, we directly observe the long-term periodicity of urban dynamics from visualization. Then for the short-term regularity, we design a novel motif analysis method to discovery motifs as well as their hierarchy relationships. We evaluate our proposed system on two real-life datesets and validate the results according to App usage records. This study sheds light on urban dynamics hidden in human mobility and can further pave the way for more complicated mobility behavior modeling and deeper urban understanding.
Understanding Urban Dynamics via Context-aware Tensor Factorization with Neighboring Regularization
Wang, Jingyuan, Wu, Junjie, Gao, Fei, Xiong, Zhang
Recent years have witnessed the world-wide emergence of mega-metropolises with incredibly huge populations. Understanding residents mobility patterns, or urban dynamics, thus becomes crucial for building modern smart cities. In this paper, we propose a Neighbor-Regularized and context-aware Non-negative Tensor Factorization model (NR-cNTF) to discover interpretable urban dynamics from urban heterogeneous data. Different from many existing studies concerned with prediction tasks via tensor completion, NR-cNTF focuses on gaining urban managerial insights from spatial, temporal, and spatio-temporal patterns. This is enabled by high-quality Tucker factorizations regularized by both POI-based urban contexts and geographically neighboring relations. NR-cNTF is also capable of unveiling long-term evolutions of urban dynamics via a pipeline initialization approach. We apply NR-cNTF to a real-life data set containing rich taxi GPS trajectories and POI records of Beijing. The results indicate: 1) NR-cNTF accurately captures four kinds of city rhythms and seventeen spatial communities; 2) the rapid development of Beijing, epitomized by the CBD area, indeed intensifies the job-housing imbalance; 3) the southern areas with recent government investments have shown more healthy development tendency. Finally, NR-cNTF is compared with some baselines on traffic prediction, which further justifies the importance of urban contexts awareness and neighboring regulations.